Nevada is just like America. RGJ explains:
- Before Latinos didn't want to vote for the black man everywhere else, they didn't want to vote for the black man in Nevada. Except in Nevada we say Hispanics.
- Hillary Clinton won some stuff Tuesday, and Barack Obama won some other stuff, and that's exactly what happened in the Nevada caucuses.
- Willard won the meaningless Nevada War Party caucuses, and then went on to win Utah, North Dakota, Alaska, i.e., similarly meaningless victories.
Meantime, the Post Super-Inconclusive Tuesday Award for Most Poignant, Wistful Load O' Bullshit Rendered by a Nevada Political Apparatchik goes to Willard Romney apologist Ryan Erwin, who said of the campaign for the War Party nomination: "It is a wide open race." True enough, whether Willard or Huckaboob will finish third in the final delegate count remains anyone's guess.
Clinton won 43 of California's 53 Cong. districts - see this link from Calif. Sec. of State:
http://vote.ss.ca.gov/Returns/dcd/all.htm
Not sure how this translates to delegates, but this was a clear win for her in the largest state.
Posted by: HR | 02/06/2008 at 10:01 AM
There is no doubt Clinton won Cali and the other "large" states. But the large state contest are essentially over. Obama does better in the smaller red states.
The question is can she continue to win important states from here on out?
2/9 - Washington, Louisiana, Nebraska
2/10 - Maine
2/12 - Virgina, Maryland, DC
2/19 - Wisonsin, Hawaii
3/4 - Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island, Vermont
Will Hillary remain strong in the West and North East?
Looking at those states, I think Obama has the slight advantage. And he should be in even better shape in states following March. Also he should continue to build and maintain momentum, and continue to out fundraise by large margins.
Wishful thinking?
Also will Hillary have the money to stay competitive? I think she may be spent.
Posted by: Pedro | 02/06/2008 at 10:52 AM
MSNBC's delegate count site (one of a jillion out there)
If you put your cursor on the biggest blue blocks, you get the CA delegates awarded; next biggest is NY, and so on.
As the omipotent Gleaner says "each won some stuff". But I remember reading from CNN yesterday about Obama's ability to win in the southern red states which is a place that HRC cannot carry.
Pedro, this is going to come down not to the populist votes but the SuperDs. "We the people", again, don't elect anybody except the people that elect the electors.
Posted by: texexnv@gmail.com | 02/06/2008 at 10:55 AM
i had high hopes for this election but it's going to be the same as usual, hold youir nose and vote for someone you think is inept.
pahrump will be interesting - i love fireworks and hope i'm not disappointed.
Posted by: | 02/06/2008 at 11:02 AM
Check these numbers out, from Time magazine:
TOTAL VOTES CAST
Clinton: 50.2% (7,347,971)
Obama: 49.8% (7,294,851)
Wow!
http://www.time-blog.com/swampland/2008/02/super_tuesday_the_most_interes.html
You already know how I feel the national convention will play out Tex.
Posted by: Pedro | 02/06/2008 at 11:03 AM
Real Clear Politics has the delegate count 974 Clinton to 906 Obama, with updated count from Calif. -- 175 for Clinton, 145 Obama, and super delegates allocated.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/delegate_counts.html
Posted by: HR | 02/06/2008 at 12:17 PM
Hillary is broke.
Posted by: Pedro | 02/06/2008 at 01:13 PM
Strange, but the fact that Obama was piling up huge margins in "red" states (as did HRC in AK & OK) went completely unmentioned on MSNBC last night.
Fox's Major Garrett was even farther off the mark when he said HRC was winning states like NYC, CA & Massachusetts where "Democrats need to win" this fall. That's where DEMOCRATS (almost) ALWAYS WIN, ya doofus!
Well, nobody ever said Garrett was the sharpest knife in the drawer. And he's been spending *way* too much time in the tanning booth lately, too.
Posted by: David | 02/06/2008 at 02:02 PM
Whoops. That should be "NY", not "NYC". Freudian slip?
Posted by: David | 02/06/2008 at 02:02 PM
Major Garrett trained as a reporter at the R-J. I would say that's obvious, but that would be insulting to those R-J staffers who overcome what goes on in the editing department.
Posted by: Michael Green | 02/06/2008 at 04:08 PM
Clinton 1045 needs 980
Obama 960 needs 1065
Strange people seem to want to portray Clinton as losing.
I think she is going to solidify her base of women voters and as an opponent against the grand old man McCain more white men will go for her.
Obama will continue to garner young and new voters but will that be enough to make up the difference? I believe that Obama will continue to be close but not enough to close the gap.The DNC will go after McCain to soften him up. I still say who ever takes Texas takes the nomination.
Posted by: kickboxermomma | 02/06/2008 at 08:21 PM