Keeping in mind the customary caveats, namely, nobody knows who is going to caucus so polls are meaningless, the deep pockets at Gannett dropped a buck or two to look at NV "likely caucus-goers."
Results, as posted at INP:
..................... August March
Hillary Clinton ....33% 32 %
Barack Obama ....19% 20%
John Edwards ....15% 11%
Bill Richardson ...11% 2%
Al Gore ............8% 11%
Joe Biden .........2% 1%
Mike Gravel .......1% 1%
Dennis Kucinich ...1% 1%
Chris Dodd.........1% 1%
Undecided ........9% 18%
Hmm. Seems to fall a tad short of a "resistance is futile" moment for the Borg, don't you think?
Meantime, Willard Milton has streaked out to a commanding lead over undecided in the forgotten race to win the completely inconsequential Nevada War Party caucus.
John EDWARDS for President '08!
Hillary CLINTON for V.P.; Bill RICHARDSON for Sectary Of State; Barrack OBAMA for re-elected junior Senator from Illinois; Joe BIDEN for Secretary of DEFENSE (that is to say NOT Offense); Mike GRAVEL for Chief of the FCC - that might put the MSM in their place (at least for a while); Chris DODD for United States Secretary to United Nations; Dennis KUCCINICH for the populous peoples heir to Hugh Hefner...
...and Al GORE for Secretary of the Interior (and all areas that have to do with the environment and saving the planet Earth)! That's my 2 cents worth for the "undecideds" - hope it helps?
Posted by: Johnathan L. Abbinett | 08/16/2007 at 12:30 PM
Re. Nevada poll -- Appears that "undecideds" when largely to Richardson, and Edwards made a minor gain while Obama has no momentum and Clinton is still the frontrunner. Not much news here.
Could be that Richardson's motivated followers at the caucuses might get him into second place to Clinton, but that level will be hard to reach with Obama and Edwards still in the mix.
If Richardson does not show a strong second here, his candidacy could be over.
Still, I wonder now if the Nevada caucus is losing relevancy and if it will be regarded as a comparatively minor sideshow. Edwards' staff pullout is significant.
The media coverage will be "CLINTON: WINNER -- NEVADA CAUCUS" and by then who came in second will be unimportant, unless it was still neck and neck with Obama vs. Edwards for second place for who might get on the ticket with Hillary. The momentum will be Hillary's anyway.
Richardson will need to have something in the way of a partial victory BEFORE the Nevada caucus to make his people bother to come out in that hassle of a caucus, one that will involve the NSDP's sure-to-be-poor planning.
Bottom line -- the Nevada caucuses are not likely to be worth much beyond sustaning Hillary's momentum, and, to the second-place finisher, by then, a fraction of a one-day story compared to what's going on in other states.
The also-rans behind Hillary are working Nevada to at least show some support here during the chain of primaries and caucuses in the bigger states that offer them more-impressive potential victories and numbers of delegates.
Among the reasons -- caucuses themselves insure low turnout, and are heavily favored for union activists, who basically are for Clinton here. A primary would be far more attractive to the national campaigns, media, and Nevada Democrat voters.
Another reason -- there just aren't that many delegates in Nevada to send to the national convention in the first place. Nevada's no delegate bonanza.
Posted by: bmt | 08/16/2007 at 01:26 PM
Wrong pic, Gleaner. This is the right one. At least for Bill R. If he threw his support to Edwards, we have a horse race. I just can't see Bill R. suporting Hilly or Obambam. And it's no secret that Gore has little use for Hilly and the Huns.
Thou shalt not enumerate thy foul antecedent to incubation.
Posted by: texex | 08/16/2007 at 04:29 PM